PUNE RACES 21.09.2013

A thumb rule race and to be avoided.

This one too is the same and also to be avoided.

IF Turf Lightning and Monza were to run together for the first time this season the difference in the weights to be carried would have been 0.5 kgs Just because Turf lightning has placed second of higher rated horses earlier its rating has gone up from 81 to 103 an increase of 22 points whereas a winner will be penalised only about 12 points in a handicap race. Hence, like Monet yesterday it is out of handicap leaving the field open for MONZA. 

If Zambesi is not able to tackle this lot, then I doubt wether it can ever earn a winning bracket in its life time.

EMPEROR OF FRANCE is cut above and should be backed as a good thing.

The Maagician and Santa Maria should fight it out and I personally like The Magician.

The race looks to be between Falcon and Dyanamo and i personally feel that Dynamo because of a run in the season will prevail.

Marengo looks cut above this set and if it is not a jobber then the race becomes wide open.

Cream of the Crop's last run is better ignored and on the strength of its earlier run it looks to be a good thing today.

DAYS BEST\: MONZA

                        EMPEROR OF FRANCE

DOUBLE

                       MARENGO

HYDERABAD RACES 22.09.2013

Ice Barrier is cut above and will not get beat.

Ziglar is back in the upto 50 category and the way it has been running this season looks like a 1400 m trip will suit it more.

There are only two jockeys in the race who will be carrying a whip. Of the two Jockey Pawar is on Eleanor who I do not feel has any chance of winning. The only choice left is INDIAN EPIC who I feel should have the measure of all other rivals.

Devil's Advocate and Star Striker should fight it out and of the two I personally will go for Devil's Advocate as I am inclined to take its last run with Imran Chisty astride with a pinch of salt.

Sweet Candy, Marquisse and Pacific Star are the main contenders here. I personally would go for Pacific Star as here again I was not fully satisfied by the efforts put in by a good jockey like Dasrath Singh last time out.

I am amazed and surprised with  the choice of jockey on Catherine. Laxmikant is obviously out of form totally. This gives a conclusion that all is not well with Catherine. If it is so then the field is wide open for Yours Truly.

Commanche Gold and Rocking Racer should fight it out and My personal choice is Commanche Gold as it covered a lot of ground and beat a very speedy customer in Hidden Destiny in a 1000m race.

Globe Trotter's last run in a 1400 m race is best ignored as it is a progeny of Trace of Magic and six furlongs is the max it can achieve. As it is running in a 1000 m race it should not find it difficult to tackle this lot.

PUNE RACES 21.09.2013

Demonics last run clearly indicates that it is ready to strike. Out of its 6 starts to date it was ridden by jockey Abhisek Habbu 4 times and twice by jockey V Jodha. The stables retained jockey coming in on today should not get beat. DEMONIC is a half brother to Star Marquess who is running in the highest class today and was supposed to be a classic hope of the stable. I think I will make it my BEST BET for the day.

A very open race with all the four runners look to be in with a chance

Tell Me More has won all the four times in its career in 1400 m. This race being a 1600 m race I will avoid it. Scaramouche had a good run last time out. Winning Destiny is also running consistently and out of a total of 17 career starts jockey A Sandesh has ridden it 13 times. Hence, I will go with Winning Destiny today.

Ghazal King was a bad last after the first four hundred meters were run. After that the way it recovered and started galloping was amazing and it won going away with the verdict flattering the runner up. Razeena in its last seven starts has played the role of a bridesmaid four times. These two should fight it out and I prefer Ghazal King as it will be only the fourth start of its career and it has got scope for  further improvement .

To the Moon's last run was an improved one. Still a thumb rule race and I feel should be avoided.

This is a handicap race. Monet after winning a 40-66 race at a rating of 43 was penalised 11 points and was rated at 53. It ran in a Terms Race and somehow held on to win from the bangalore challenger Nadia. Now, since Nadia was rated at 106 the handicapper has no choice and Monet shoots up to 100 from 53 an increase of 47 points. We have to forget about Monet winning for sometime to come. Masseha, Okavongo and Angel Crown have not been running to their form for the past few runs. That leaves only Hurricane Wind and I think i will have a very good bet on HURRICANE WIND.

Yellow Zone and Deep Diver should fight it out and the running of the race and a little bit of luck will decide the winner. Make your pick from these two.

Here again Senora Bella and Petite Fleur should fight it out.

Although a thumb rule race, Ace of Heart a three year old is running in the lowest class. A half sister to Sugar Loaf ( winner in a 40-66 category and today rated at 77) with a forward run last time and subsequent vey good track work should not get beat. I will have a good bet on ACE OF HEARTS                                    

DAYS BEST:  DEMONIC  

                         HURRICANE WIND

DOUBLE:

                          ACE OF HEARTS

KOLKOTTA RACES 21.09.2013

Although a thumb rule race, here is a horse  Thrice Blessed who has won at a rating of 16 and today runs at a rating of 13 and with perhaps the best rider available in kolkotta to guide its fortunes may prevail over others.

This again is a thumb rule race and hereagain we have a horse whose last two wins have been achieved in the higher class. The horse has come down from a rating of 40 to 22 in six months and with the apprentice in the saddle will effectively run as a 14 rated horse. It has won twice as a 30 rated horse.

Can we comment anything beyond DANDIFIED. The race looks to be over bar the shouting.

Hurricane Star and Amika are the main contenders here. But, to me both the riders that is M F Ali Khan and Srinath dont inspire any confidence. Make your pick if you like from these two.

Follow the Dream and Accurate should fight it out.

A very open race wherein I personally would go for field if I am taking a Jackpot Combination.

The only and maiden run of Flash was very impressive in Mumbai. Altanza with 200 m to go in its only start looked like she will go away but suddenly stopped, Anyways the winner will be either of the two.

Ocean Sunrise, Star of Roses and Calypso Girl should fight it out and, I personally feel that if Star of roses is a jobber then it will not get beat. However, the jockey choice does not inspire much confidence,

MYSORE RACES 20.09.2013

Although a thumb rule race, the very fact that the last three wins of Jewel Lady have been in the higher category of 20.45 and its loosing by a head on post to Arun ( who had won the Mysore Derby as Fist of Rage , which was declared null and void) in the recently concluded Bangalore Season inspires me to have a very good each way bet on JEWEL LADY.

This thumb rule race is better avoided.

An ordinary bunch of runners wherein anything can happen and to be avoided.

Cinch's win in its only and maiden start was very impressive. Mark's(who finished a tame second) subsequent impressive win stamps that performance. I think CINCH will be my days best bet today.

Absolute Majority, Smoking Aces and Wind of Soul look to be the main contenders here. But the danger to all in this race will be Impressive Bolt who left the field cold in its last run when similar underfoot conditions prevailed.

Kafka and Whistle Jacket should fight it out and the way P S Chouhan's luck for the past few days has been running out I might go foe Whistle Jacket.

Wind Tunnel in its present form should easily achieve the hat trick of wins. If something goes wrong with Wind Tunnel then the race becomes open.

Azetic Star and Guts and Glory should fight it out. Gits and Glory in its last run under similar underfoot conditions has cut a smart time and may prevail.

Nessie and Wild Nexus should fight it out.  But then the caliber of Ryan Marshall against the caliber of Suraj Narredu. Make ur choice.

MADRAS RACES 19.09.2013

First race: Silver Duke and Zeher

Second race: Best wishes and Flying Man

Third race: Kiss me and Tycoon of Stars

Fourth race: Trojan World and Grey Glory

Fifth race: Persian Rock and Music Forever

Sixth race: Regal Ranson and Millenium Force

MYSORE RACES 19.09.2013

A thumb rule race, better to be avoided.

This race too is a thumb rule race and to be avoided.

Cationic, in the last Mysore season had placed second to Virat in a 40-65 race wherein it was rated 58, a point above Virat. Earlier, in the Mysore summer season it won a 1400 m race in the category 40-65. Virat is rated at 108 today and has a chance of winning. Cationic on the other hand has been brought down to a rating of 35 and with the allowance claiming apprentice will run effectively at 31. CATIONIC should be a good bet today.

Here again there is a horse which has been cleverly brought down the handicap. Indian Bolt wonthe Maharajas Cup  in the last Mysore Season wherein it was rated at 102 and Color Me was rated at 81 in the same race.Color Me finished 12 and a half lengths behind Indian Bolt. Today Color Me is at 95 and Indian Bolt is at 94. Indian Bolt should run well today.

The turn of foot shown by Keukenhoh last time suggests it is made for bigger things and the time it has cut was outstanding. I think you can maKE KEUKENHOF   your best bet of the day.

Smokey Sid, Cheval D'or, Flash Time and Czar Rule are in with a chance. I for won am unable to pin point any one of them. Make ur choiceamongst these horses.

All For Cash and April Showers should fight it out. there is very little between them and running of the race and a little bit of luck will decide the winner. Having said that, I feel the superior riding of Suraj Narredu mey tilt it in favour of April Showers. I feel this race will be good for a box forecast.

1. April Showers   2. All for cash

Coffee Time looks to be a cut above the rest and I feel will not get beat today. Here, I want to share an observation of mine. I have observed that more often than not after an owner dies, immediately his horse wins. Shri D Kumar Siddanna the owner of Coffee Time has passed away recently. I think we cam make COFFEE TIME another good bet for the day.

Days Best: KEUKENHOF

Good Double: CATIONIC AND COFFEE TIME

MADRAS RACES 17.09.2013

First race: Come to Success

Second race: Star Academy

Third race:Running Free

Fourth Race: Star Presence

Fifth race: Highland Quest

Sixth race: Touch and go

MYSORE RACES 17.09.2013

A thumb rule race and to be avoided.

Aceempressjessie is well bred being half sister to Machiavallenism and a youngster too, but, still I think I will keep away from it. Here, I would like to take a small three way chance on The Senator who though a seven year old but is still capable of upsetting.

Ace Shineon and Maracana should fight it out. Make ur pick from these two.

This race belongs to S K company so either Style of  Signature or Jump in the Red will win. Look for any indications or positive signals and decide.

The horses of Rajan Agarwal and Gautam Agarwal have started to definitely perform better after the switch in the stables. Hence, I will go for Violent Storm here.

Toroloco, Immense, Super Storm and Panamera look to be the main contenders here, but, inspite of jockey B Paswan in the saddle I will go for Toroloco.

A highly confusing and avoidable race .

This is again a S K company race. Either Getrafix or Queens Colour as decided by the company will prevail at the wire.

Although Arctic Rose has beaten Carissa by 4.75 lengths on May 29 2013 let us not forget that Carissa stumbled very badly at the 400 m marker. At that point of time Arctic Rose and carissa were abreast. Cariissa coudnt come into her own after tthat stumble. There is also a weight advantage of 4.5 Kgs. Hence, I am going to make Carissa as my best bet of the day. 

HYDERABAD RACES 15.09.2013

Back Golconda King in the third race, Aventus in the Fifth race and Caladium in the last race as good bets

PUNE RACES 15.09.2013

Sorry, due to paucity of time I will not be able to discuss race by race, and, am giving below my choices in brief.

First race; Walk of life should not loose and should be backed a sa good thing.

Second race:Visionist looks to be the best of the lot.

Third race: Watch out for the body weight of Mint Approach and if it has come down by at least 25 Kgs then a chance can be taken.

Fourth race: will not go beyond Follow Me and Al Zamarrud and as Follow Me is still a maiden Al Zamarrud becomes the first chance.

Fifth race: If Walk of Life wins the first race then back Hail The King. Trainer Hoshidar Daji narrowly missed out on his double yesterday and Today might be different.

Sixth Race: Autumn Rush is cut above this bunch and should not loose. Can be backed as a good thing.

Seventh race; Gallant lad, Glorious Reward and Paris look to be the main contenders here. Make ur pick from amongst these three. I personally will go for gallant Lad.

Eighth race: Sunshine Heart looks to be the best as Wild Imagination the other contender is trained by N Lagad and his apprentice N Bhujbal has been engaged to ride Sunshine Heart for which consent has to be given by N Lagad.

Ninth race: Gloria if a jobber should not find it difficult here. 

PUNE RACES 14.09.2013

Although a thumb rule race I feel Pezzonovante should not loose. Storm Lightning, Polar Zone and Vaile Rouge might follow not necessarily in the same order.

1.PEZZONOVANTE

This thumb rule definitely is to be avoided.

Jockey S P Rangane was almost flung out of the saddle during the last run of Intesar as the jump was quite awkward. Still it showed tremendous initial speed and won the race with something in hand. It should not get beat today.

1.INTESAR

You are the Boss in its first start has finished ahead of Panthera and Yellow Zone both winners subsequently and now running in 40-65 category. You are the boss may tackle this lot today.

Wish Upon A Star looks cut above the rest and I feel should not loose here.

1.WISH UPON A STAR    2. Sun Salutation

Quite an open race with all the six runners seem to be in with a chance. I for one am unable to decide or work out the better ones here. Make ur pick.

Blind Date and Dark Knight should fight it out. Dark Knights last run was very good wherein it led from the start and lost narrowly on the post. The timing was very good and I dont think Dark Knight, if it reproduces the same run will get beat.

1.DARK KNIGHT    2.Blind Date

None of the maidens inspire any confidence. Hence, I feel that this race is better avoided.

Here again winner picking looks extremely tricky. I think I will avoid.

By default Archimedes looks good, otherwise I am not very bullish about this one  It may win from Hay Day and One Wish.

1.Archimedes    2. Hay Day    3. One Wish

MADRAS RACES 12.09.2013

Here are a few choices of mine for todays Madras races. Mind you a bet is to be made if the odds on tote are at least even and above.

Second race: Royal Talisman

Fourth Race: Aflame

Fifth Race: Running Free and Secret Weapon

Sixth Rcae: Regent Appeal

MYSORE RACES 12.09.2013

A thumb rule race better to avoid. However, if you want to take a chance I will suggest you go with Fruit King for the reason that it has won twice in Bangalore and the last time it was tried it came second seven months back at a rating of 18 and had gone up to 22 for that effort of 1/2 length second. Today it is at 6 and with a apprentice in the saddle will effectively run at a rating of 2.

Again a thumb rule race, But here you have a horse who last won at a rating of 78 on 02.02.2011 which is 31 months back. The best part is it is retained by the same owner. In 27 starts after that it has come third once and fourth once. Imagine the cost incurred by the owner and the returns he got during this period. However, the horse has come down from a rating of 90 to 24 (and with the apprentice will run at 20) A drop of 34 Kgs and running in the lowest category from the highest. It has had a forward run last time(though could not have beaten Arc Angel which was too good) and seems to be fit. If the horse ends up as a favorite or comes into backing I feel you can safely have a very good bet on it.

Mark had a very good run last time out and looks to be the best of this lot. However, I am not too bullish on it and I personally do not have any choices or pointers here.

Deep Blue Sea ran a good third behind Summer Sun (ridden by Suraj Narredu)last time out. It was riddem by K. Chetana a jockey who could not have ten winners and get a whip. But today he is a full fledged jockey purely on account of his age. What more can we say about his capacities and capabilities. Today with Suraj Narredu to guide it should win here. Zermatt, Fantastic Strike, Supreme Persian and Rebuttals Hope may fight out for the minor placings.

1.DEEP BLUE SKY

Wild Nexus, Samara Sun, Hill Stone, Scenic Blast, Clever Trick and Whistle Jacket look to be the main contenders here, and, I for one am unable to decide. Make your pick from amongst these.

The turn of foot shown by Keukenhoh last time suggests it is made for bigger things and the time it has cut was outstanding. I think you can make this your best bet of the day.

1. KEUKENHOF

Smoking Aces, if it reproduces its last run should not find it difficult here.Thoughts and actions, Rich Celebration and Mountain High are also in contention.

Balas Glory, Simpleton and Truman should fight it out and I fancy Simpleton of the three.

1.Simpleton    2. Truman    3. Thoughts and Action

Love is Life, Seven of Hearts and Born Electric are the main contenders here. I personally like Love is Life for the simple reason that jockey P S Chouhan has chosen to ride it again after three starts.

1.LOVE IS LIFE    2. Born Electric    3. Seven of Hearts.

KOLKOTTA RACES 11.09.2013

A thumb rule race better to avoid.

Hot iron and Arisen Star should fight it out and the joker in the pack is River Pride, if a jobber will floor them all.

1. Arisen star    2. Hot Iron    Upset: River Pride

Welcome Smile should find it easy from Glyneath and Bengal King.

1.WELCOME SMILE    2.Bengal King    3. Glynneath

Accurate in the last eleven months has gained 10.5 Kgs over Mesmerizer and 12 Kgs over Arrow in Auto Mode. Although the last two runs have been really bad it has been consistently working well since then. The choice of jockey also suggests that today will be different. Jockey C Alford, when he accepts a ride outside his stable, he seldom fails. Suuny Sue's last run with a much lesser known rider was eye catching and with S Shinde in the sadlle might give a fight.

1. Accurate    2. Sunny Sue

Quite a mediocre bunch of runners. Self Directed looks to be the best of the lot. I for one am going to avoid this race.

Abarth, sunshine Dancer and Sergeant Major look to be the main contenders here, and, I personally like Abarth as it is running in a 1400 metre race which looks to be the optimum distance of Abarth.

The manner in which Rappadan Glory won its last start, there is no way it can loose today. It can be easily made the best bet of the day.

1 RAPPADAN GLORY    2. Rithambara    3. Ocean sunrise

MYSORE RACES 06.09.2013

Although a thumb rule race, but, I still feel that the sheer bloodlines of Catwalk Queen should see it through. I think I should have a bet on this horse today.

Bounty Hunter and Jewel lady should fight it out. I personally would go for Bounty Hunter again for the reason that Suraj Narredu is by far a better rider.

1.BOUNTY HUNTER    2. Jewel lady

Perfect Soul if it can stay the distance (which I very much doubt) will win, if not, then My Lakshmi looks very good of the other four. 

Oscar Sparkler beat the Alchemist with the gender allowance quite squarely. The Alchemist,still a maiden  is rated at 30 and ran a 20-45 race as a favorite and lost narrowly. On the other hand Oscar Sparkler will be taking on a 20-45 opposition at a rating of 36 and with apprentice Shahnawaz in the saddle will be effectively running at a rating of 30. Also remember that Oscar Sparkler had beaten The Alchemist, start  to finish in a seven furlong race which is not its forte. I think I will back Oscar Sparkler as a good thing today.

1.OSCAR SPARK

This is a race confined to Mysore based horses. Spirituality, Brave Assault and Sanatana look to be the main contenders. Brave Assault has beaten Spirituality by 2.75 lengths with Vaideeswaran astride and spirituality was ridden by S John. Brave assault got 3.5 Kgs that day. Today getting 2 kgs that is a disadvantage of 1.5 kgs but, with Suraj narredu astride and Spirituality ridden by Christoffer I think Brave Assault should have it easy.

1.BRAVE ASSAULT    2.Sanatana    3. Spirituality

Something Different, Lagoona and Haute Ecole look to be the main contenders here. but, i feel that the winner will emerge from Lagoona and Something Different. Make your pick from these two.

Saratoga Spring is known to perform badly with Suraj astride and well with lesser known riders. The Guardia and Smooth Shine are also good. Make your pick from these three. I personally do not fancy any particular of the three. 

Cruise Clear, Sue Nevell, Prazky and Magical Filly are the main contenders here. I do not have a personal fancy.

MADRAS RACES 05.09.2013

I am giving below my choices for today's Madras races and if any of them is paying even or more on tote can be backed.

First Race: Bhai Jaan

Second Race:ROYAL NATURE

Third Race: Tarzan Boy

Fourth Race:Aflame

Fifth Race: Rudimentary

Sixth Race: FLORENCE

MYSORE RACES 05.09.2013

President's Rule looks good, but, in the absence of track work after the last run which was almost a month ago I advise better to avoid. Having said that I dont mean try and find another horse to back. I feel it is better not to back President's Rule and even better not to back abnyother horse against it too.

A thumb rule race and to be avoided.

Ensatus Elegans and Hatchet Harry should fight it out. I personally will go for Hatchet Harry for the reason that it will be guided by a superior jockey.

1.HATCHET HARRY    2. Ensatus Elegans

Alizadeh and Party Tonite should fight it out. However, Party Tonite does not seem to be a genuine horse. Two runs of it are never similar.The connections of Alizadeh on the other hand look to be seriuously interested as the horse has given two gate practices after being troublesome at the gates in its kast start and was wuthdrawn.

1.ALIZADEH    2.Party Tonite

Nabisco is still unbeaten in the tree starts it had. It has been sparingly raced too. I think it can be easily made the best bet of the day today.

1.NABISCO    2.Jersey Girl

Shivalik Star, Secret Punch and Quick Enough seem to be the main contenders here. A thumb rule race. But, still, I feel that Shivalik Star is superior to the bunch and I am going to back it today.

1.SECRET STAR    2. Quick Enough    3. Secret Punch

Pursuit of Fame, Mannat and Cadogan are the main contenders here. I for one am unable to pinpoint any positives in favor of any of the three runners. Make your pick from the three.

Azetic Star has only disappointed till date, but, still looking at the bloodlines I feel like giving it another and a final last chance today. Priceless Ace is bred to stay and had a very good educative run first time out on the last day of the Bangalore season. It finished a good third from way back in a sprint race. It is half brother to Southern Bay a classic winner. If Azetic star continues to run as it had then it should be easy for Priceless Ace.

1. Priceless Ace     and Azetic Star.

Knowledge, Historica and Aerial Acrobat may fight it out. I personally do not fancy any horse here. But, if I do take a chance I might take it on Aerial Acrobat as Arshad Alam an in form apprentice and allowance claiming jockey who has been regularly riding winners has been engaged.

KOLKOTTA RACES 04.09.2013

Torch of Life looks too superior to the bunch and should mot find it difficult to win. Trainer P Quinn has won 5 races this season out of which 4 were favourites and eight horses which were favorites have lost.  On the contrary only one horse which was a non favorite has won. Hence, no sensible conclusion can be derived from these statistics. But, still I will go with Torch of life.

1.TORCH OF LIFE.     Knight of realm    3.  Petaloid

Altanza has had a mock race and although finished a distance behind third I was impressed with the mock. Although it did not take a good jump and was a bit slowly away ran well to come on the heels of the front runners and was held up after that. The other runnere had had their runs and have not performed till date.

1.ALTANZA.    2.Iron lady

A thumb rule race better avoid. I personally like Thrice Blessed but the jockey J.K.Prasad out of his seven mounts this season has come on board only once when Afrah won by default as the short priced favorite Audrick was withdrawn at the gates.

Another thumb rule race, but, I can say with confidence that the race will not go beyond Red Passion and Words. That does not mean that you can have a forecast or quinella bet. If Red Passion is a jobber then it will definitely win and Words will follow it home. Otherwise, Words will not loose. So, you have to use your brains a little at the race time to make money in this race.

Quite an open race with three out of the five runners being from Western India. Now, let us analyse these three first. Silver Silver arrived at a rating of 44 and today runs at 59 an increase of 15 that is 7.5 Kgs. Highly Explosive arrived at 38 and today runs at 48 increase of 10 points that is 5 Kgs. Star of Roses arrived at 67 and today runs at 41 a decrease of 26 points that is 13 Kgs. And then you have What a Feeling the local horse who has the capacity to win. Make your pick, but, I will go with Star of Roses and what a Feeling.

Chala Ja Bacha and Blue Lightning should fiht it out and I personally will go for Blue Lightning as its manner oi winning was more impressive. Here, I would like to present some statistics for you. 12 favorites of trainer Vijay Singh have won this season out of which Dandified has won thrice so that means only9 favorites have won. On the contrary, 13 of his favorites have lost this season and on 10 of these favorites jockey C Alford was astride. Ha ha.

1. BLUE LIGHTNING    2.Chala Ja Bacha