Sunday, November 10, 2013

HYDERABAD RACES 11.11.2013

Winds of Victory and Natalia should fight it out and I feel Winds of Victory has an edge.

For Fastest Finger the race looks to be over bar the shouting, however the odds on it will be so low that it would not be worth taking a bet.

A thumb rule race, however with Suraj Narredu to guide its fortunes Amarpal may do the trick, however, it is not advisable as a betting proposition.

Silver Cruise's last run in a 1000m race ,which is not its forte, was very suggestive. Looks like it has come to hand.For the record, It has beaten Exclusive Lady( by 3.75 lengths in a 1600 m race last winter), the only other challenger in the race, carrying 1 Kg more, with N Rawal astride. Today with Suraj Nareedu in the saddle and carrying 2Kgs less I dont think it should find it difficult to land the spoils here. I am going to make a bet on Silver Cruise for win.

The manner in which Allianz Arena has won its last start (maiden win in its ninth start of its career) suggests that a minimum of one more win has to be there immediately. It is also related to Bespoke a sprinter of very high repute (having reached the highest class, with a rating of 115) from Western India, belonging to P. Shroff. I am going to have a bet on Allianz Arena for win.

Transition and Bernabeau should fight for honors and I feel that Transition has an edge.

Fair and Square and Amazing Weapon are the main contenders here. The edge, definitely shoild be given to Amazing Weapon for the fact  that it was a jobber for the first time in its career, in its last start, and was beaten by a horse ( Go for Gold) which has won very well agaain next time. Whereas, Fair and Square had to play the brudesmaid part on numerous occasions. Moreover, there is a huge positive change in the jockey from an apprentice in Mukesh Kumar to C. Henrique. Both these horses have had their last run on the same day in back to back races of the same distance that is 1100m. Both ran in the same fashion of a start to finish tactics. I have watched the video of both races a number of times but you cant take away anything from either of the runners. However, for the reasons nentioned earlier I will go with Amazing Weapon for win.

The sheer riding brilliance of Suraj Narredu may see Overshadow through, otherwise, none of the runners inspire any confidence as a betting prospective.

My bets for the day:

1. Silver Cruise for win

2. Allianz Arena for win

3. Amazing Weapon for win

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